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New Horizons Investment

New Horizons Investment

By: Odd Bird
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This podcast is designed to introduce new investors to investing.Odd Bird Economics Personal Finance
Episodes
  • Delta: The Gap Between Quality and Opportunity
    Jun 6 2026

    This episode explores Delta, the gap between business quality and investment attractiveness. The Equity Integrity Score (EIS) measures whether a company is structurally sound through factors like capital allocation, revenue quality, and moat strength, while my ranking system focuses on what I would actually buy. By comparing the two, Delta reveals where the numbers and my convictions diverge. Small Deltas suggest alignment between quality and opportunity, while large Deltas highlight areas where future expectations differ from present fundamentals. The framework turns disagreements into research questions rather than conclusions. Delta may be the most important metric in the portfolio because it exposes where conviction, valuation, and business quality collide.

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    20 mins
  • The Equity Integrity Score - Expansion Version
    Jun 3 2026

    This 19 minute episode introduces the Equity Integrity Score (EIS), a framework designed to separate genuine business compounding from structural equity decay. This is the expansion version looking at over 135+ stocks. Rather than focusing solely on growth, EIS evaluates four core pillars: ROIC stability, revenue quality, dilution discipline, and capital allocation integrity. The central idea is that investors are not buying earnings or revenue streams—they are buying a claim on a compounding machine, and that machine can quietly deteriorate while reported results continue to improve. Using heat maps, scoring systems, and a Top 40 ranking framework, EIS helps identify businesses such as Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, and Google that exhibit broad-based structural strength across multiple dimensions. The framework also highlights value-oriented compounders like MOH, ELV, VEEV, and SFM, which score highly through balance and durability rather than narrative appeal. Portfolio construction shifts from maximizing upside stories to maximizing confidence in the durability of the underlying equity structure. EIS is not designed to predict winners—it is a structural filter intended to eliminate false winners before they become permanent sources of capital loss.

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    19 mins
  • The Equity Integrity Score: Measuring Structural Compounding vs. Decay
    May 28 2026

    This episode introduces the Equity Integrity Score (EIS), a financial framework designed to distinguish between genuine long-term compounding and superficial growth. This system evaluates a company’s structural durability by measuring four key dimensions: return on invested capital stability, revenue quality, ownership dilution, and capital allocation. By identifying forces of equity decay like aggressive accounting or misaligned management, the EIS acts as a structural filter to categorize investments into three distinct tiers. The framework shifts the focus of portfolio construction from chasing market narratives to prioritizing capital preservation and per-share value.

    This methodology serves as a permission structure for position sizing, ensuring that the largest allocations are reserved for businesses with the highest economic integrity.

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    23 mins
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