Why Our Rates Thesis Keeps Delivering
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In this episode, we unpack the profound shift reshaping markets: the transition from a growth-driven framework to one dominated by interest rates and inflation anxiety. What began in late 2023 as a simple observation—that falling rates lift equities while rising rates pressure them—has evolved into a full-blown regime change with deep historical parallels. We explore why “bad news” like softer economic data can now be bullish, how decades-old correlations have flipped, and what this means for positioning across sectors. With affordability pressures, a bifurcated consumer, and a massive AI-driven earnings backdrop all in play, this conversation breaks down the signals that matter, the risks that could disrupt the trend, and why this new paradigm may be with investors for years to come.
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