Rob Lee is back in Kyiv after another round of frontline visits — from Zaporizhzhia to Donetsk to Kharkiv — talking directly with frontline commanders and the R&D teams building the war's newest capabilities. In this episode Sam Cook stands in for Dmytro Putiata and interviews Rob on what's actually changed as of early June 2026.
The headline shift: deep strike is no longer Russia's game. Ukraine is now hitting at operational depth too — with cheap, scalable drones, corps-level strike assets like Hornets, and a brigade-to-corps reform that's giving commanders real ownership of their battlespace. Rob walks through where the front is genuinely different from a year ago, where it's still grinding (Kostiantynivka, the Kramatorsk–Sloviansk line), and why he wouldn't be surprised to see successful Ukrainian armor assaults this year.
A granular, on-the-ground read from the analyst with the access to get it.
Chapters:
00:00 Intro — who Rob is and this June trip
04:58 The front as of early June 2026
06:03 Why map movements mislead — reading the front
08:19 What he saw: Zaporizhzhia to Donetsk to Kharkiv
09:00 Is Russia slowing? Manpower and priorities
11:43 Corps get Hornets — striking deeper behind the line
12:51 Brigade-to-corps reform: commanders own the battlespace
15:03 Dobropillia: redeployments and Rubicon
15:55 The cheap-drone revolution — $4,000 recon, Mavic + Starlink
18:00 Counter-Shahed and the interceptor problem
20:31 Starlink on UGVs — why it's indispensable
21:52 Europe and the US stepping up production
24:46 Corps UAS regiments and reduced vulnerability
26:15 Where it's still hard: Kostiantynivka
26:47 Kramatorsk–Sloviansk and the high-ground threat
32:23 UGVs: the gas-powered casevac "mule"
33:07 Only 20% of the UGVs they need
33:48 AI targeting and camera-guided turrets
35:26 A WWI analogy for this moment
36:06 Why Ukrainian armor assaults may return (Zabrodsky callback)
37:31 Operational depth: where Ukraine now has the edge
38:21 FP-2s and the middle-strike payload gap
39:55 1,000+ drones a night — the deep-strike picture
40:34 Deep strike is no longer Russia's game
41:23 Putin doubling down, and why the war turned
42:45 Drones = 80%+ of casualties now
43:33 Recap of the trends
46:40 Wrap-up
Rob Lee is a senior fellow at FPRI and a former US Marine. Host Samuel Cook is the founder of the Ukraine Military History Institute and a former US Army officer who taught Russian history at West Point.
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