The 7% Reality: What Carlsbad Buyers Need to Know Before Waiting for Rates to Drop
Will mortgage rates go down? It's the question I get from buyers almost every single week, and in this episode I'm giving you the honest, no nonsense answer based on 20 years in the Carlsbad real estate market.
Here is what we cover:
Why interest rates are not equity, they are a utility, and why that distinction changes the entire conversation.
The long term average mortgage rate since 1975, and why today's 7 percent environment is actually normal, not the outlier.
Why we will never see 2.875 percent rates again in our lifetime, and why that is actually good news for the housing market.
The truth about "marry the house, date the rate," and the one financial strategy that will get you in trouble.
Why lower rates do not equal more affordable housing, and what would really happen to Carlsbad prices if rates dropped tomorrow.
Why recessions do not automatically bring rates down.
The Carlsbad specific case for buying in the 1.8 to 2.8 million dollar coastal market, including why I believe this city is still the best long term value in Southern California.
The rent versus buy math on a 2 million dollar Carlsbad home right now, and when renting might actually be the smarter play.
Whether you are ready to buy, sitting on the fence, or just trying to make sense of the noise, this episode will give you a clearer way to think about rates, timing, and the Carlsbad market.
If you want to talk through your specific situation, my contact info is in the show notes. No pressure, no pitch, just a real conversation. Thanks for listening.
Steve Olson
Steve Olson Group