Episodes

  • #639: The Easiest Trading Edge Nobody Talks About

    #639: The Easiest Trading Edge Nobody Talks About
    Jun 28 2026
    The Easiest Trading Edge Nobody Talks About Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #639: The Easiest Trading Edge Nobody Talks About In this video: 00:23 – Round numbers will help your trading results. 00:50 – Traders ignore the most important part of the chart. 01:43 – What is a Round Number? 02:28 – Support and Resistance levels. 02:58 – How to use Round Numbers in your trading. 05:30 – Check out my new Masterclass. 05:59 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 06:35 – How to contact me for trading help. Round numbers. What are they? How can you use them and why are they so important? Let’s talk about that and more right now. Hi there, Traders! Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with this week’s video and podcast number 639. Round numbers will help your trading results. So I want to talk to you about round numbers because it’s something that I find most people don’t use and don’t understand. And you don’t see the importance of it, probably because they don’t look at the price axis. You see, most people, when they get into trading, they’re worried about this line moving over that line and a moving average crossing over or MACD changing from overbought to oversold. And they get very caught up in indicators. Traders ignore the most important part of the chart. And the issue becomes that most people ignore what is probably the most important part of the chart. It’s the right-hand side axis. It’s the price axis. You wouldn’t go out there in normal life buying something without considering the price. So why is it that when you suddenly want to become a trader, you take this crossover of a moving average, but you never look at the price? Why is that? Well, it’s because most people get so fixated with all these lovely squiggly lines and things, or they hear news events and they suddenly want to become fundamental traders, that they fail to look at the actual price. Go and look at the price on your charts and you’ll see that price changes over and bounces at those levels so many times. So most people ignore round numbers. What is a Round Number? What is a round number? So I classify a round number as a price level that ends in a 00 or a 50. The 00s are more important and have more weight in my opinion, but 50s are also important. So think of, let’s say, $100 or $100.50 or 101, 101.50, 102, that type of thing. So think of those types of 50s and zeros. Anything ending in a 50 or 0, they are the most important round numbers. And so those levels are important to us as traders because those levels act as natural areas of support and resistance. Support and Resistance levels. So think of support and resistance as floors and ceilings. When the price comes up to a resistance level, it hits that ceiling and it will likely bounce and fall away. Now how do you know that that’s a resistance level? Well, you can look at your charts and see a previous bounce at that level, but you can also look at the other side of your chart and go, “Oh, that’s bounced at a round number.” And so those levels suddenly become really important for you. There are so many ways you can use them. I’ll give you some examples. How to use Round Numbers in your trading. Let’s say you are buying at the close of a candle, but that candle had already gone up and hit a round number and then rejected that level. I personally would not be taking a buy trade at that point because the price has already proven to have hit that level, rejected it, and fallen away. So that’s one way of using a round number. It helps protect a trade that might end up being a losing trade. Secondly, if the price has come down and bounced at a round number and the candle low is at a round number and then turned around, that could be a good reason for that level to be a support level. It could be why the price is turning around because it’s bounced at that round number. Another way you can use round numbers is to help protect your stop loss. Let’s again say that we’re buying a currency, and we have the ability to put our stop loss below a round number. It means that the price might move up, it may come back, it may test that round number. Your stop loss, by the way, is below the round number on a buy trade. The price may come and test that round number and then head back up again. So your stop loss below a round number on a buy trade will help protect the trade. The other way of looking at a round number to your advantage is, again, if we’re saying that we’re buying a currency pair, it’s moving up and it’s moving up nicely. Make sure if there’s a round number at or near your profit target that you need for your strategy, you just bring your profit target down to below that round number. Again, the price may go up and let’s say your ...
    Show More Show Less
    7 mins
  • #638: Your Breakout Strategy Is Failing (Do This Instead)

    #638: Your Breakout Strategy Is Failing (Do This Instead)
    Jun 21 2026
    Your Breakout Strategy Is Failing (Do This Instead) Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #638: Your Breakout Strategy Is Failing (Do This Instead) In this video: 00:28 – Trader has a failed breakout strategy. 01:33 – False breakouts and low reward:risk trades. 02:23 – I use limit orders and not stop orders. 04:07 – View our new 15 minute Masterclass. 04:25 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 05:40 – Real people, community and communication. So your breakout strategy keeps failing. What can you do to overcome that? If you trade breakouts or you’ve considered trading breakouts, this video is exactly what you need to hear. Let’s get into it. Traders, it’s Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 638. Trader has a failed breakout strategy. Just this week I’ve received an email from a trader who said, “Andrew, I need some help with breakouts. My breakout strategy is not working. It keeps failing. I keep losing money. What can you suggest?” Well, first of all, let’s understand what a breakout strategy is. For most people, it means that you’re buying at the high of a candle or a range, and you’re selling at the low of a candle or range. So that could mean you look at every 4 hours and you take a buy stop, let’s say, to buy above the high of that 4-hour range. Or you may be taking like the first 10 hours of the day or taking the European session and trading a breakout of that, whatever it is you do. There are all sorts of styles of breakout, but effectively it means you’re buying high and you’re selling low. So you’re either sitting there waiting for that price to break out of that range and you’re taking a market order, or probably the more sensible way of doing it is to put a buy stop and sell stop in, which means that when the price breaks high or low, the market automatically gets you filled into the market. False breakouts and low reward:risk trades. But the trouble is, it doesn’t generally give you a particularly good reward-to-risk. And you’ll find so many times you’ll get false breakouts. The market will move up, get your buy stop in and move up a bit, and then fall back down again. You get stopped out and it just keeps happening. So for me, I don’t actually like breakout strategies. I don’t think they are a particularly good way of trading. It’s just basically here’s a range and if it goes higher than that, we’re taking buys. If it goes lower, we’re taking sells. It doesn’t have a huge amount of other technical qualities about it. And as I mentioned, it certainly doesn’t, in most cases, give you a particularly good reward-to-risk. So therefore, for me, it’s not something I really am interested in doing. So a better way of answering the question might be to say what else can you do instead? I use limit orders and not stop orders. Now, for the last 20-plus years, I have used limit orders and it’s something that if you don’t use them, I suggest you go and have a look and consider using them. So a limit order, a buy limit or a sell limit, means to buy below the current price, and a sell limit is to sell above the current price. And already, if you think about it, to buy below the current price means that if the market should pull back down, get me filled, and then move up in my direction, I’m already massively in reward-to-risk favor. And if you imagine you’ve got a buy stop and I’ve got a buy limit in, the market moves down, gets me filled, by the time it then turns around and goes back up to your buy stop area, I’m probably already with my strategy in at least a 1-to-1 reward-to-risk trade, if not more, and you’re just getting filled on the trade. And so the likelihood of me making profit on a buy limit order is so much more than you taking profit, and good profit and good reward-to-risk, with your buy stop order. So I would consider limit orders. The markets always move up and down and retrace. So in most cases buy limit orders get filled very often and you just find that they work beautifully once you know what you’re doing. Now let’s say that the market does not pull back and you do not get filled on your buy limit order. Well, that doesn’t really matter, because all it means is that you miss out on the trade. That’s absolutely fine. You know, that happens from time to time. So have a look for buy limit orders and sell limit orders. Your reward-to-risk will improve massively. View our new 15 minute Masterclass. In other news, I have made a new short 15-minute-long masterclass this week. It’s now available on our website. It’s on demand so you can go and watch it whenever you like. I’ll put a link to that. I highly recommend you spend 15 minutes, go and watch that and you’ll learn so much about trading on ...
    Show More Show Less
    5 mins
  • #637: Why Trading Only EUR/USD Is Holding You Back

    #637: Why Trading Only EUR/USD Is Holding You Back
    Jun 14 2026
    Why Trading Only EUR/USD Is Holding You Back Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #637: Why Trading Only EUR/USD Is Holding You Back In this video: 00:25 – How many pairs do you trade? 01:00 – Don’t focus on just 1 pair. 01:25 – I look at multiple pairs to trade every day. 01:57 – A trade example. 02:42 – A strategy needs to work on all pairs, all markets and all time frames. 03:14 – Trades from this week that I’ve taken. 04:15 – Don’t take “B” grade setups. 04:52 – View our new look website and Masterclass. 05:03 – Client review testimonial videos. 06:35 – Trade and enjoy life. How many currency pairs should you look at as a trader? Should you just focus on 1 or 2 pairs, or should you look at multiple? Let’s talk about that and more right now. This is Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 637. How many pairs do you trade? So today I want to talk about currency pairs. And should you just focus on 1 or 2 pairs? And the reason I want to talk about that is I often hear about people that say, look, I just look at the EUR/USD. And that’s all I look at, and it’s all I want to focus on. And I hear other people that say to me, look, this strategy that I’ve got here, it only works on the USD/JPY on a 1-hour chart, for example. And I don’t understand why people do either of those. Don’t focus on just 1 pair. To me, it doesn’t make any logical sense, because if you’re focusing on just 1 or 2 pairs, then what happens if those pairs are not moving particularly well at the time, or they’re not giving good setups? And the reason why a strategy should only work on 1 pair or 1 time frame again, doesn’t make any logical sense if you have a good sound technical strategy. I look at multiple pairs to trade every day. So for me, I’ve for many years now, over 20 years, constantly looked at multiple forex pairs on a daily basis. And the reason I do that is I’m scanning through the charts really quickly and then say 10 minutes, 15 minutes, I then scan through all the currency pairs and other non-forex markets on multiple time frame charts once a day. Or if I want to look twice a day, I can do exactly the same. So it might take a total of 30 minutes a day. And it gives me so many more high-quality setups. So as an example, let’s go back to the EUR/USD. A trade example. If you’re trading that and there’s nothing really showing on there, then maybe you should look at the EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/NZD, EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD, EUR/JPY. Why would you focus on just the EUR/USD? And if you are out there looking for currency strength and weakness, you can’t tell if you’re looking at just the EUR/USD. Is the euro strong? Is the euro weak? Is the US strong? Is the US weak? Are they both strong? Are they both weak? And so you’re not giving yourselves a lot of chance of having a successful strategy long term if that becomes your limitation. A strategy needs to work on all pairs, all markets and all time frames. So for me as a technical trader, a strategy should work across all currency pairs, in fact all markets and all time frame charts as well. So whether you’re looking at, say, a daily chart or a weekly chart or a 4-hour chart or a 1-hour chart, the strategy, if you have a good sound strategy, should work across all those different time frame charts as well. And again, that opens up the possibility of more quality setups. Trades from this week that I’ve taken. Now, to give you a great example, over the last week or so, some of the forex pairs have been quite dreadful to trade. There’s not been a lot of price action. There’s been a lot of sideways movement, some indecision, and sometimes at the beginning of the weeks we’re now seeing some big gaps. And, you know, therefore, by having the ability to look at shorter time frame charts, we’re seeing a lot of good shorter time frame charts. My clients have been posting a lot of 2-hour charts and 30-minute charts recently that have been really good, but also go to the other extreme on the weekly charts. I’ve got 2 trades open on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 taken off the weekly charts at the beginning of this week. They are both in excellent, excellent profit, selling both of them and based on the weekly charts, I have that longer-term bias on those 2 pairs right now that they’re dropping, which they’re currently doing. And as I’m recording this video, both of them are in very good profit. Don’t take “B” grade setups. So again, it comes back to not limiting yourself. Don’t be restrictive. Look at multiple pairs, multiple markets, multiple time frame charts. And if your strategy is good and sound and quality, then these setups will appear. And what that also does is it stops me taking what I call B-grade ...
    Show More Show Less
    7 mins
  • #636: The Trading Mistake That’s Costing Beginners Years of Progress

    #636: The Trading Mistake That’s Costing Beginners Years of Progress
    Jun 7 2026
    The Trading Mistake That’s Costing Beginners Years of Progress Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #636: The Trading Mistake That’s Costing Beginners Years of Progress In this video: 00:29 – We don’t spend all day looking at charts. 00:40 – Learning how to trade properly. 01:22 – The elephant is too big to eat at once. 02:30 – Little and often is the fastest way to learn. 03:24 – Don’t compare yourself with an experienced trader. 04:17 – You won’t become a full-time trader by next week. 05:22 – Bradley’s video testimonial. 06:12 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 07:00 – Find someone to follow. How do you eat an elephant? Well, you eat it in the same way as you learn to trade the forex market. I’m going to share details about how you can eat the elephant and learn to trade properly in this week’s video and podcast. Let’s get into it right now. Andrew Mitchem here, The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 636. We don’t spend all day looking at charts. Outside on another beautiful winter’s day here in Nelson in New Zealand. The beauty of trading, of course, is that you are not sitting looking at your charts all day. Learning how to trade properly. But the issue that people have is that they don’t know how to start. And so I liken learning to trade as the same as the phrase that you may have heard, and that is how do you eat an elephant? You see, the way that you eat an elephant, not that you’re going to, is 1 bite at a time. And learning to trade forex is exactly the same. You know, many people look at trading and they get overwhelmed with the information out there, you know, charts and indicators and news and not understanding risk management, psychology behind trading, all these things. And the mistake that I see so many people out there doing is they try to learn it all at once. The elephant is too big to eat at once. So the issue that you have to come back to when you’re thinking of the elephant is the elephant’s too big. So you can’t do this all in 1 go. You have to understand what it is that you need to do in order to tackle that elephant, or in this case, the forex market. And you see what people end up doing is they jump from 1 strategy to another. They try to master everything straight away and they get information overload. They become frustrated and it just doesn’t work. So going back to the 1 bite at a time, learn things piece by piece. Learn how the market moves. Break things down. Look at the price. You know how many people, how many of you out there watching or listening to this don’t actually look at the price? I bet there’s a lot of you. Understand risk management. Understand what things like support and resistance are. Understand the movement of different times of the day or the different currency pairs, how they react. Do they react to news announcements or not, or how do they correlate between each other? All these type of things break it down to eating or in this case, learning 1 thing at a time. Little and often is the fastest way to learn. Now consistency beats intensity, and what I mean by that is by doing little bits often, you will soon be amazed how you will soon pick up things. You know you can’t go there eating this elephant in just 1 meal. You’re not going to just keep taking 1 mouthful at a time and expect to eat the elephant. Likewise, you can’t just sit there and cram all this information in like just in a few days and expect to become as good as someone that’s been doing this for a long time. And right now, as an example, I’m, you know, trying to get better at singing, trying to get better at learning to play the guitar. So I’m doing regular lessons online, and I’m learning and doing little bits at a time, learning bar chords. So if you’ve ever played a guitar, you know how difficult bar chords are and what they mean on the fretboard. This is exactly the same. Learn a little bit, say 30 minutes a day when you can to learn these parts and things will soon start to come together. Don’t compare yourself with an experienced trader. The other important thing is not to compare what you are doing and what you’re learning with someone that’s been doing this for a long time. You can’t, for example, look at my trading knowledge and experience and expect to be at that level straight away because I’ve been doing this for like 21-plus years every day. And, you know, but when I started, you know, it was all new. When I started, there was nowhere near the help that there is today. So don’t go out there comparing yourself with real traders or what you perceive online with the TikTokers and, you know, the barely-out-of-school type of people that have traded for a week and tell you how good they are. Whichever ones you’re...
    Show More Show Less
    8 mins
  • #635: These 2000-Year-Old Lessons Will Improve Your Trading

    #635: These 2000-Year-Old Lessons Will Improve Your Trading
    May 31 2026
    These 2000-Year-Old Lessons Will Improve Your Trading Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #635: These 2000-Year-Old Lessons Will Improve Your Trading In this video: 00:28 – Greek Mythology and your trading success. 00:51 – Too much confidence can blow an account. 01:57 – Obsession with money. 02:43 – You don’t need a degree to become a good trader. 03:12 – 2 new testimonial videos from our clients. 04:12 – My farming background has helped me to become a good trader 04:41 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 05:30 – Give me your feedback and request for trading topics. Do you realize that trading and Greek mythology are so highly correlated? I want to talk about that and give you some quotes and see how they relate to trading and your success in this video and podcast. Let’s get into it right now. Hey there, Traders! It’s Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 635. Greek Mythology and your trading success. So today something different because I want to talk about Greek mythology and how it relates to your trading success and how you approach the markets. You see people control the markets, emotions control the markets. And those same traits can be seen in Greek mythology, you know, from thousands of years ago. Too much confidence can blow an account. Give you an example. If you look at Icarus flying too close to the sun, that can be related to, say, like traders who are over trading, over leveraging, you know, their confidence becomes too much and they then blow their account because of doing silly things. You know, they’re ignoring risk management rules and you get disaster. Exactly like Icarus flying too close to the sun with confidence. You can look at Odysseus and, you know, the principles of trading with discipline. You know, look at your trading as a long journey and how to gain patience when under pressure. Sticking to your trading plan despite distractions that you may have. You’ve got the example of sirens and market noise, and you know you’ve got social media tips out there telling you what to do. You get people saying, this is a guaranteed trade set up. You get, you know, emotional temptations pulling you away from your strategy because you’re out there on forum sites looking at other things. So you’ve got all those kind of issues going on there. Obsession with money. You’ve got King Midas obsession with profits, you know, just looking at money, money, money. Whenever people do backtesting, they always pick the 1 with the, you know, the most money and you then get away from, you know, what you really need as a trader, which is consistency as well so people forget that. Achilles, so the Achilles heel your trading psychology becomes your weakness. You know, revenge trading, fear of missing out potentially like refusing to accept losses. All those type of things. So really important that you think about these, you know, principles that have been around for thousands and thousands of years and how they can help you with your trading. Markets, you know, are new, but emotions are not. Emotions have been there forever. You don’t need a degree to become a good trader. So the best traders out there, they’re not necessarily the smartest ones. And I find this with my, you know, with my students. And when I say smart, they don’t have to have all the bits of paper and been to the best universities and all that type of thing, that does not make the best traders. The best traders are the ones that can master themselves, control their emotions, stick to plans, be disciplined, show up, turn up and you’ll find that they become the best traders. 2 new testimonial videos from our clients. Some great examples of that on my website. Just in the last week, we’ve added 2 new reviews and testimonials from clients and the guy. Pete’s been with me for 10 years. I met Pete in person a few weeks ago when I was over in Bali. And, you know, have a listen to that review. There’s Ryan, who’s a real estate agent here in New Zealand. Have a listen to his review. Just a family guy with 2 young kids doing really well through his trading by turning up, showing up, sticking to the discipline and rules and, you know, being a self-employed person, like, you know, like a commission agent, like a real estate agent is, you know, he understands that not every trade will be perfect. He understands that you can put lots of time into trading for maybe like a day or a week or, you know, and the results aren’t always going to be perfect. So I think it takes a special kind of person like that to really trade well. My farming background has helped me to become a good trader I come from originally a farming background, you know, I understand that, that things are tough. You’re, you ...
    Show More Show Less
    6 mins
  • #634: The Trading Community That Changed Everything

    #634: The Trading Community That Changed Everything
    May 24 2026
    The Trading Community That Changed Everything Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #634: The Trading Community That Changed Everything In this video: 00:28 – 9 days as a guest trader in Bali. 01:35 – 15 traders trading live in front of an audience. 02:15 – October 2027 is the next trading retreat date. 02:25 – My big takeaway is the power of our trading community. 04:45 – View our new look website and Masterclass. 04:56 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 05:40 – Real people, community and communication. Communication in any form of life is so important. And in trading is absolutely vital. And I want to talk about that really important topic right now. This is Andrew Mitchem here, The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 634. 9 days as a guest trader in Bali. Back home here in New Zealand. Beautiful autumn day after spending 9 days in Bali at a trading retreat. It was a fantastic retreat and I want to share some information about that. I was invited over there as a guest trader and there were around 60 learning traders there and about 15 traders from around the world, of which I was one. We were all there to help the people learn, but also to just offer our experience and our knowledge and to talk to each other and learn from each other. And it was a really, genuinely great event where people were just sharing information and ideas. And when people do that, you realize that obviously there’s more than 1 way to trade, and people have different ideas of how they view the market, and there’s no right way to trade. There’s lots of wrong ways to trade. But by talking about this with other traders and just seeing their perspective, you know, we were all sharing ideas and all learning and it was massively valuable. And I gave several presentations over there. 15 traders trading live in front of an audience. And the other thing that was so good about the retreat was the 15 traders. We were all trading for the 5 days, Monday through to Friday during the Asian session, the European session and the US session. So there was nothing hidden. You know, when we saw trades, we identified the trades, we placed it, people could see them live. There was none of this, you know, TikTok, YouTube stuff where, you know, people are showing you, you know, the 1 trade out of 100 that works. We were all there together in real time, real markets. And, you know, with the pressure of doing that in front of all these traders and, you know, and the people learning as well. And so it was a fascinating experience to be there. October 2027 is the next trading retreat date. Now, on a side note, we are looking at getting more of our Forex Trading Coach clients to their next retreat, which is likely to be October 2027. My big takeaway is the power of our trading community. But the information that I got out of it when I shared what we do at The Forex Trading Coach and the bit that people really thought was so powerful is, of course, not just a strategy. And by the way, we took some great trades. I had some, you know, some lovely trades across different markets and time frames live for that week. That was great. But the bit that people resonated with and people picked up on was the power of our community of traders. And I think that’s something that’s so underestimated. If you don’t trade properly and you don’t appreciate it. You see, trading is a very lonely business. You’re sitting there at home or wherever you do your trading from. Most people don’t thoroughly understand what you do. They don’t really get it. And people say to me, are you trading shares or something? No, it’s completely different. But, you know, people just don’t get it and that’s fine. It’s not for everybody. But the issue that I see that so many people out there face is they don’t have that communication and that way of contacting other people. And it’s 1 thing that the traders there at that retreat in Bali were so impressed with what we offer at The Forex Trading Coach, you know, with our forum site where we’ve got traders from right around the world, you know, from 111 countries over the last 17 years. And by the way, it’s our 17th birthday this week right now. So we’re very proud of that as well. But you know, we are all there to help each other. No 1 dominates. No 1 takes over. Everybody is there to share trades to help each other, no matter where you live in the world. And I think that along with our live weekly webinars where we’re trading in front of our clients and people can ask questions and we talk about trades and shows that we’re really doing this and we’re real people and we’re genuinely there to help each other. And so all our clients and, you know, we’re really careful not to have that bad apple, you know, that ...
    Show More Show Less
    6 mins
  • #633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate

    #633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate
    May 10 2026
    You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate In this video: 00:43 – Win Rates in Trading and a Simple Example 01:26 – Percentage Risk for a Trade/Risk Management 02:08 – Client Ryan achieves 9% with a 37.6% win rate 02:46 – Outside world win percentages for Roger Federer, 03:15 – Casino games win rate, need 55%+ 03:57 – Sports betting win rate, need 55%+ 04:48 – 95% traders lose, only hear about the 5% winners, winning AND s 05:33 – 2 ways to react to losing trades, one preferred way 06:17 – Taking the good with the bad: celebrate wins and deal with losses How would you like to be a consistent and profitable trader with a win rate in the mid to high 30s or low to mid 40s? Impossible? It’s not. And how do we react to losing trades? Let’s talk about that and more right now. Hello this is Paul Tillman. I’m the Director of Coaching Services at The Forex Trading Coach here at my home in the Raleigh, North Carolina area. And this is video and podcast number 633. I want to talk to you about 2 things: win rates and losing trades. Win Rates in Trading and a Simple Example So win rates which is simply the number of trades you’re winning divided by total number of trades that you are taking. So let’s do a simple example here. Let’s say you take 2 trades. First 2 trades you lose your risking $100 per trade and you’re down $200. Let’s say the 3rd trade that you take is a winning trade. And your reward to risk is 3 to 1, as in your win is 3 times what your loss is. So you’ve won $300 on that trade. Now if we add that up you have 2 losing trades at -200 and 1 winning trade at +300. So you’ve made a net gain of $100. And with 33.3% win rate. Percentage Risk for a Trade/Risk Management And as always we suggest taking a quarter or a half percent risk on the actual trade that you take. Risk management is very key, and so is consistently getting that reward to risk. So you can be a profitable trader at 33.3%. Now if we extrapolate that on all the trades that we take on our live webinars, on our form site and our chat room area for our daily trade suggestions, which is like a newsletter we put out each weekday. Extrapolate that out to tens and hundreds of trades in a year, and you can do very, very well with a win rate that’s much lower than 50%. Client Ryan achieves 9% with a 37.6% win rate In fact, we had a trader, Ryan, who said for his March trades, he made 9% gain at a half percent risk, with an average awarded to risk of 2.6 to 1 across all his trades. And his win rate was 37.6%. So under 40 with a 9% gain in 1 month. That is incredibly good. And if you could do that every month, you know the sky is the limit with regards to firms and trading retirement accounts or whatever it is, you can do fantastically well now in the outside world, that’s very hard to do to be successful at something at under 50%. Outside world win percentages for Roger Federer, Let’s take a few cases here. Roger Federer, who’s arguably my favorite tennis player and I think one of the best of all time, only won about 54%-55% of all points that he played. Which is crazy to think about how many Grand Slam titles and overall titles that he’s won and he’s only done that percentage. Casino games win rate, need 55%+ Now let’s take 2 other different ventures: the casino. A lot of people are going to casinos on cruises, or if there’s casinos where you are and the house always has about a 1% to 5% edge, depending on what game or what type of hands you’re playing, machines, et cetera, etc. so you’ve got to be in that 53% to 55% win rate range just to break even. And the casinos know this and they have that house edge. So it’s built in. But if you can get over 55%, which is rare, and your casino games and everything are set up for you not to do that, especially long term, then you’ll be a consistent winning player of the casino. Sports betting win rate, need 55%+ Let’s take sports betting huge around the world and has been growing in the US the last 5 to 10 years especially. Again, there’s a built in advantage to the casino. If you win 52% – 53% of bets, you’ll break about even that, that juice that they have or that vig as they say, is to the sports books advantage and the casinos. The best bettors in the world only win 55% to 60%. And that’s at the very top. But you can do well if you can achieve that number. So in trading, you know, high 30s, low 40s. Our client Ryan, who’s been with us a couple of years and others are getting right in that, you know, mid to high 30s or low 40s for a win rate. 95% traders lose, only hear about the 5% winners, winning AND losing trades The other one that I want to talk to you about is losing trades. There...
    Show More Show Less
    7 mins
  • #632: The Trading Mistake That Keeps You Broke

    #632: The Trading Mistake That Keeps You Broke
    Apr 26 2026
    The Trading Mistake That Keeps You Broke Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #632: The Trading Mistake That Keeps You Broke In this video: 00:28 – Too many traders simply over trade. 01:20 – We have so much access to charts. 03:19 – Don’t break your trading strategy and rules. 03:44 – Blueberry Markets as a good broker choice. 04:15 – Bali trading retreat. 05:05 – Don’t force trades. Overtrading can be the absolute killer for many people. And this week’s been a perfect example of why you should not do that. I want to discuss that and more with you right now. Hey there traders! Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach. Outside another beautiful day with video and podcast number 632. Too many traders simply over trade. Now overtrading is a problem that so many people have. You know people get into trading and they want look at the charts. They want to be taking positions. They’re seeing this indicator jump over that one on this dot appear here. And all these different things that look really, really cool. And they go down to very short time frame charts. And they’re so desperate to see trades. And look, I get it. I used to be like that years ago. Don’t forget, when I started we were on dial up internet and when 1 gigabyte a month was a huge data plan. And so when I jumped on the computer and finally got the internet to work. You know, if you my age, you’ll understand and remember the old sound of the dial up internet. The issue that we had then is that because now I’m now online, the kids are asleep type of thing, and now I’ve got a bit of time. I’m forcing a trade. We have so much access to charts. And today we almost have the same problem, but a different scenario that we have so much access to everything. And you can just look on your phone or, you know, and you can just jump online at any stage and you’re forcing trades to happen. And sometimes the very best thing you can do is not to trade. Now, this particular week has been a terrible week for trading. It’s just been like nothing’s showing up on the charts. Very few trades I think I’ve taken 4 trades and it’s now Thursday and there’s hardly anything happening. It’s day after day of scanning through the charts. Just quickly go no, there’s nothing there. And so while sometimes that can feel frustrating, you’ve got to remember that there is no point in taking a trade just for the sake of taking a trade. All you’re doing is giving yourself a really good chance of losing, and you’re feeding your broker more what I call clicky click fees. You know, more commission fees for entering the trade and it’s going against your trading plan that’s going against what you know that you should really do. But you feel as a trader, whether you’re on a prop firm or you’re on an account, you feel that the only way you’re going to grow your account is obviously to take trades. But the reality is in these market situations, less really is more. The market’s been very volatile, obviously with all the things happening in the world. And that’s just getting reflected on the charts with lots of absolute flat, no movement, just day after day after day. And so now of course, there have been some trades and a few trades, but like in general it’s been a terrible week for trading. And so as mentioned, just to accept it, it’s part of trading next week will probably be absolutely brilliant. And it’s just the way it is. So you can’t change it. You can’t like manipulate the market. You can’t do any of these things. You just got to go with what you presented at the time. So the takeaway lesson and the key of this video is that, you know, trading sometimes is not exciting. And that’s the reality of it. And you’ve got to accept that if you’re a real trader. Don’t break your trading strategy and rules. Don’t over trade, don’t force trades, don’t, you know, change your strategy, break your rules just because the market’s not giving you anything, you’re just going to regret it and hate doing it and lose trades. And then, you know, next week when the market, let’s say, does become good, you’re fighting, trying to get profitable trades just to get back to break even from the terrible week you might have had in a week like this, if you’re taking too many positions. So bear that in mind. Blueberry Markets as a good broker choice. If you’re out there looking for a really good forex broker, I can highly recommend Blueberry Markets. They’re based across in Australia, but people from right around the world can trade with them. So a few exceptions like the US and a couple of other countries, but most other people you can trade with Blueberry Markets. Look, there’s heaps of brokers out there and, you know, there’s a ...
    Show More Show Less
    5 mins