Navigating the Unpredictable: Why Complex Systems Defy Prediction

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Navigating the Unpredictable: Why Complex Systems Defy Prediction

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About this listen

In this episode, Jason Starke explores the unpredictability of complex systems, using the example of raising children. Drawing on insights from John Gall’s System Antics, he challenges the concept of “predictive safety” in aviation, emphasizing that while we can’t fully predict complex systems, monitoring risk controls can help identify issues early. This discussion encourages safety practitioners to measure effectiveness for continuous improvement in organizational safety.

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