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Doug Casey's Take

Doug Casey's Take

By: Matthew Smith
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Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker. Economics Personal Finance Political Science Politics & Government
Episodes
  • Is This World War III?
    Oct 7 2026
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com After a brief hiatus, Doug and Matt discuss Trump's escalating rhetoric about Iran potentially nuking U.S. cities and argue the U.S. bears historical responsibility for the conflict, citing oil interests, the CIA-backed coup against Mossadegh, the Shah, and the 1979–1980 embassy crisis. Doug says Trump's actions have worsened the situation, advocates a public apology and possible indemnity to de-escalate, and predicts Trump will not complete his term due to impeachment, the 25th Amendment, assassination, or broader instability. They debate nuclear delivery realities, warn that antagonizing adversaries invites catastrophe, and frame current conflicts—Middle East shipping chokepoints, Houthi-Saudi fighting, and Russia-Ukraine maritime attacks—as kindling for World War III. They also cover French unrest, demographic and religious shifts, bond-market stress, a potential tech-bubble burst, and conclude by favoring energy and mining stocks. 00:00 Back From Hiatus 00:28 Trump Iran Nukes Talk 03:07 Why Iran Hates US 05:45 Apology Not Escalation 07:55 Trump Term Prediction 09:43 Nuclear Delivery Reality 14:33 World War Three Path 15:12 Saudi Yemen Flashpoint 20:15 Chokepoints And Shipping 26:05 Empire Bases Vulnerable 27:52 Elections And Dissidents 30:36 Islam And Instability 31:52 France Protests Breakdown 36:46 Bond Market To Collapse 39:43 Fourth Turning Theory 41:22 Worst President Forecast 43:05 Wrap Up And Investing
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    44 mins
  • Kunstler: Half the Country Is Literally Insane
    Oct 14 2026

    Novelist and essayist James Howard Kunstler (The Long Emergency, the World Made by Hand series) joins Doug Casey and Matt Smith. Kunstler expects prosecutions after the midterms, starting with John Brennan's grand jury appearance. He also says the US military won't let radicals take the levers of power, and that the country has slid from high trust to no trust. Doug and Kunstler clash over the Iran war. Also: Europe tottering, why US shale is more fragile than it looks, what Kunstler got wrong in The Long Emergency, Israel and Gaza, Ukraine and NATO, and the deep state.

    Kunstler's Substack: https://www.kunstler.com
    Find us at https://crisisinvesting.com
    New Orleans Investment Conference, Oct 28-31: https://neworleansconference.com/casey-2/

    00:00 Welcome James Howard Kunstler
    01:08 Will Anyone Face Justice?
    07:11 Brennan Before A Grand Jury
    13:39 Bondi, Bongino, And Silence
    18:42 Will The Military Step In?
    22:35 Two Flavors Of Authoritarianism
    26:14 Civil War And A Trump Bet
    28:54 Europe Is Tottering
    31:10 Iran, Oil, And Shale
    37:31 Doug Pushes Back On Iran
    41:43 Islam And Europe's Future
    45:39 Invasion, Hochul, And New York
    49:55 Where Are The Men Of Quality?
    51:41 Trump The Paradox
    55:44 Markets, Bonds, And The Carry Trade
    1:01:11 Kunstler On Gold
    1:02:58 The Long Emergency, 20 Years On
    1:05:15 From High Trust To No Trust
    1:07:59 Half The Country Is Insane
    1:12:13 A Steak Of Justice
    1:15:13 Is Trump An Authoritarian?
    1:18:37 Israel, Gaza, And Tucker
    1:24:39 The Iran Blockade
    1:26:08 Ukraine And Leaving NATO
    1:28:11 Brennan And The Deep State
    1:31:54 Wrap Up

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    1 hr and 33 mins
  • Oil Is $136 on the Ground. Why Does Wall Street Say $95?
    Oct 16 2026

    Doug Casey and Matt Smith on the gap between the flash and the bang. The war in the Middle East started February 28th, the Strait of Hormuz is choked, and Saudi Arabia and Yemen are now at war, yet most Americans still ask "What war?" Spot oil in the North Sea is $136 while the futures market says somewhere in the $90s. Why are markets disconnected from reality, and how long before the bang? Plus Saudi Arabia and MBS, Egypt, Israel fatigue, Indonesia's gas lines, AI and the new rust belt, the Fort Hood execution, and why Doug says "the shit will really have hit the fan" anytime between tomorrow and a couple of years from now.

    Find us at https://crisisinvesting.comAsk Doug a question: https://crisisinvesting.com (click "Ask Doug")
    See Doug at the New Orleans Investment Conference, Oct 28-31: https://neworleansconference.com/casey-2/

    00:00 Welcome And New Orleans
    02:02 Worse Than The Worst Case
    05:11 $136 Oil On The Ground
    06:52 Markets You Can't Trust
    10:36 Refineries And Fuel Shortages
    13:03 Saudi Arabia Is Next
    17:36 Egypt's Ticking Time Bomb
    20:50 Israel Fatigue
    26:04 Indonesia's Gas Lines
    31:07 We Saw The Flash. Where's The Bang?
    33:33 Rates, Bonds, And A Bifurcated America
    36:09 AI And The New Rust Belt
    39:37 Billionaires And Their Bodyguards
    41:57 Kunstler And Agreeing To Disagree
    44:37 Tankers In The Strait
    47:36 Books: Vikings And The Mandibles
    51:06 Overproduction Of Elites
    52:33 Trump's $5,000 Video
    54:09 The Fort Hood Execution
    1:05:59 Press Secretary And Guilfoyle
    1:09:23 Monica's Podcast
    1:13:21 Wrap Up

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    1 hr and 14 mins
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