Episodes

  • Payrolls Is a Wage-Led Rates Event

    Payrolls Is a Wage-Led Rates Event
    Jun 5 2026
    Markets enter payrolls with low implied volatility, firm dollar pricing, and weakening tech leadership. The key input is wages, not just the headline jobs number, because a hot AHE print could force a rates and dollar repricing.
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    6 mins
  • Lower Oil Helps, But AI Leadership Is Under Pressure

    Lower Oil Helps, But AI Leadership Is Under Pressure
    Jun 4 2026
    Oil, yields, and the dollar are easing, giving markets some relief, but tight crude supply and pressure in AI leadership keep the tape fragile. Today’s briefing focuses on crude, rates, the dollar, Broadcom, gold, crypto, and the key levels that matter over the next 24 to 48 hours.
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    6 mins
  • AI Holds the Tape as Rates Vol Rises

    AI Holds the Tape as Rates Vol Rises
    Jun 2 2026
    Equities remain constructive, led by AI and semiconductors, but the macro backdrop is less clean. Oil near $90 WTI, sticky prices, labor data, and rising rates volatility keep the 2-year yield and MOVE index in control.
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    6 mins
  • Risk-On Holds, But Rates and Oil Narrow the Margin

    Risk-On Holds, But Rates and Oil Narrow the Margin
    May 31 2026
    Risk appetite remains supported by Nasdaq leadership, improving breadth, and low volatility. But the rally is becoming more sensitive to Treasury yields, oil prices, labor data, and Fed pricing over the next 24 to 48 hours.
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    6 mins
  • PCE Tests the AI-Led Risk Rally

    PCE Tests the AI-Led Risk Rally
    May 28 2026
    Semiconductors are keeping equities firm, but oil and rates remain the macro constraint. Today’s core PCE print is the hinge for whether this rally broadens or turns into a tighter financial-conditions trade.
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    6 mins