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Geopolitical Alpha
- An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future
- Narrated by: Brian Arens
- Length: 7 hrs and 52 mins
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Summary
Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource
Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides listeners with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye toward generating investment-relevant insights.
Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms", and most of their political consultants, and instead focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses:
- What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade
- Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk
- How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns
Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
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- stu1815
- 23-03-23
No major new real insights, not worth your time
This book contains one insight, which is that political actors are bound by material constraints thus cannot be expected to act upon their stated preferences. Whilst true, this is not a particularly unique or new insight and has been voiced by other political commentators in different wordings.
Half the book is filled with accusations about how bad competing fund managers and commentators are. This gets boring pretty quickly, and mostly illustrates the arrogance and utter lack of humility of the author.
Should the reader seek any evidence that author Marko Papic is not in any way superior to the competitors he so despises: this book was written in 2020 and opens with the prediction that Russia will never invade Ukraine because it is too dependent on gas export revenues from Europe. How wrong can one be...
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