Can we predict where hiring is headed before job numbers are released?
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In this episode, we go beyond the headlines to explore how business confidence and PMI provide early clues about future hiring demand. Through a real-world analysis of US labour market data, I explain why these indicators successfully predicted major hiring trends during the pandemic recovery, why they became less reliable in recent years, and what that teaches us about interpreting the economy.
If you work in talent, HR, recruitment, or market intelligence, this episode offers a practical framework for connecting economic signals instead of chasing headlines.
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