2026Q2 Sandisk Corporation (SNDK)
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About this listen
Sandisk represents a high-beta, pure-play vehicle for the secular growth of NAND flash memory, currently entering a "supercycle" driven by the proliferation of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Unlike diversified peers such as Samsung or SK Hynix, which are exposed to the commoditized DRAM and foundry markets, or Western Digital, which retains the cyclical Hard Disk Drive (HDD) business, Sandisk is singularly focused on the non-volatile memory required to store the explosion of data generated by AI training and inference models.5
Our bullish thesis is predicated on three structural pillars:
- AI-Driven Demand Inelasticity: The transition from traditional compute to AI-centric infrastructure has created an insatiable demand for high-performance Enterprise SSDs (eSSDs). Sandisk’s Q2 Fiscal 2026 results—showing a 64% sequential surge in data center revenue—confirm that it is a primary beneficiary of this mix shift.7
- Geopolitical Alpha: In an era of renewed trade protectionism under the Trump administration, Sandisk’s manufacturing footprint offers a distinct advantage. Its primary fabrication occurs in Japan (through the Kioxia Joint Venture) and assembly in Malaysia. The recent exemption of Malaysian semiconductor exports from U.S. "reciprocal tariffs" provides Sandisk with a cost-structure moat against competitors with heavier exposure to non-exempt regions.9
- Operational Agility: Freed from the capital allocation conflicts of the HDD business, Sandisk has optimized its balance sheet and CAPEX strategy. The extension of the Kioxia JV through 2034 secures long-term wafer supply without the crushing burden of sole-funding new fabs, allowing for superior free cash flow generation.11
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