2026 Predictions: Adam vs. AI, Trump-onomics & The "Real" UK Economy
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About this listen
Is it time to submit to the AI overlords? In this first full supplement of 2026, Adam Lawrence kicks off the year with a unique experiment: he trained an AI on a year's worth of Propynomics content to predict the macro and property landscape for 2026. Does the AI know Adam better than he knows himself? Tune in to hear where they agree - and the critical areas where Adam vehemently disagrees (especially on rents!).
We also tackle the return of "Trump-onomics" and the concept of "Net Wars" , alongside a deep dive into the UK's "Inclusive Wealth" accounts - proof that the economy hasn't fully recovered from 2020, even if GDP says otherwise.
Plus, we break down the latest Nationwide House Price Index , Chris Watkin's data on why volume - not price - is the new metric of health , and why a "flat" market might be your best buying opportunity this year.
In this episode:
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Trump-onomics: Venezuela, oil prices, and the "Putinization" of US foreign policy.
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Market Health: Why transaction volume is beating price inflation (feat. data from Chris Watkin).
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The "Real" Economy: Why ONS Inclusive Wealth data shows we are still burning the furniture to heat the house.
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Deep Dive (2026 Predictions): Adam vs. The AI.
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House Prices: Why Adam predicts +1.5% while the consensus says higher.
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Interest Rates: Why the Base Rate might stick at 3.5%.
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Rents: The AI predicts a 6.5% surge, but Adam explains why affordability will cap it at 3.5%.
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Political Outlook: Will Starmer survive 2026? Plus, the looming "concrete vs. countryside" civil war.
Links:
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Join the Property Business Workshop (Jan 22): tinyurl.com/pbwnine