Today is Friday, October 16th 2026 and it was another eventful week. The value rotation accelerated, with money coming out of momentum trades.
Here is my thinking on this type of market action. There aren't enough value lifeboats on the Tech Titanic. Tech companies have become so incredibly large while value companies have been starved of capital. Growth, tech, momentum, AI, however you define it, is one extreme concentrated bet that represents well over 30% of the S&P 500 and even more of the NASDAQ 100.
While there will be bounces and reversals along the way, I am gaining confidence to call this a trend because of the source of the liquidation: a neo-cloud company called Coreweave ticker CRWV and its loss of access to capital.
That brings us to What Worked in Value:
Constellation Brands ticker STZ had a good earnings report this week, showing depletions for beer down only 0.5%.
What didn't work?
Investors focusing on headline valuation metrics like market cap / GDP have been on the sidelines. At least this week, that did not work. Staying in cash and missing out on stock picking has been the wrong move.
Next up is On the Hunting Trail for Value
With value outperforming and momentum declining this week, I naturally looked at some momentum stocks. I was only somewhat surprised that most don't even pass a cursory valuation check despite much lower prices.
Wrapping Up:
The rotation from momentum to value accelerated this week, and fundamental developments like Coreweave losing access to the bond market could add longevity to the trend. Beware the the deadcat bounce and stay tuned for more earnings season next week! Thanks for listening and have a great weekend.
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Brian X Account: https://x.com/bfrankvalue
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