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The Drunkard's Walk

How Randomness Rules Our Lives

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The Drunkard's Walk

Yazan: Leonard Mlodinow
Seslendiren: Sean Pratt
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Özet
 In this irreverent and illuminating audiobook, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.

The rise and fall of your favorite movie star or the most reviled CEO - in fact, all our destinies - reflects chance as much as planning and innate abilities. Even Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single season home-run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky.

How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars by one journal and called the worst wine of the decade by another? Wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.

Offering listeners not only a tour of randomness, chance and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man afresh from a night at a bar.

©2008 Leonard Mlodinow; (P)2008 Gildan Media Corp Career Success Decision-Making & Problem Solving Mathematics Philosophy Physics Science Society Kariyer Esprili
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Eleştirmen yorumları

"A wonderful guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." (Stephen Hawking)
"If you're strong enough to have some of your favorite assumptions challenged, please listen to The Drunkard's Walk....a history, explanation, and exaltation of probability theory....The results are mind-bending." ( Fortune)
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It's an enjoyable listen but not exactly light hearted as the title would hint at. Saying that if you like learning interesting facts and theories about statistics it is worth listening to.

Not an easy listen but worth it

Bir sorun oluştu. Lütfen birkaç dakika sonra tekrar deneyin.
Thoroughly enjoyable, amusing and educative treatise on randomness and it implications for us humans.

Not a randomly awarded 5 stars.

Bir sorun oluştu. Lütfen birkaç dakika sonra tekrar deneyin.
Entertaining, with just they right mix of history, interesting anecdotes, applied examples and accomplished narration.

As if Bill Bryson did statistics!

Bir sorun oluştu. Lütfen birkaç dakika sonra tekrar deneyin.
Mathematical subjects can be awfully dry, but in this book the author weaves a highly accessible, enjoyable and enlightening tapestry of the history of mathematical thinking on luck and chance. Thought provoking examples of the counter-intuitive nature of randomness and chance are interwoven with little vignettes of the sometimes surprising episodes of the lives of pioneering probability theorists. Take for example Cardano, who invented probability theory to beat others at dice games in order to pay his way through renaissance medical school. He rose to become chair of the medical school, only to be betrayed to the inquisition by his own incestuous and cruel children who were maneuvering for "cushy" jobs as full time torturers and henchmen. What are the odds of that? Or, indeed, what are the odds that a mother will kill two of her children? Or that OJ Simpson got away with murder? You don't have to die to find out.

The lighter and the darker sides of probability

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Really enjoyable listen. The Mathematics and science are discussed in a manner which should be accessible to all. Sits nicely alongside the work Daniel. Kahneman.

Interesting, informative and enlightening

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