Better Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty
A Practical Framework for Choices You Can't Undo
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Better Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty
Seslendiren:
AI Voice Grant Holloway
6,00£ karşılığında satın al
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Seslendiren:
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AI Voice Grant Holloway
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Yazan:
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Grant Holloway
This title uses virtual voice narration
Virtual voice is computer-generated narration for audiobooks.
This book is about the specific kind of decision that has no redo: the ones where you can't gather more information, can't run a trial version, and can't undo the outcome once it's made. Not everyday choices you get to repeat and improve on next time — the rare, high-stakes calls where being wrong is permanent.
It draws on real, established research to explain why these decisions feel so uniquely paralyzing: loss aversion, the well-documented finding that a potential loss weighs roughly twice as heavily on the mind as an equivalent gain; anticipated regret, which pushes people toward whatever option requires no active choice, whether or not it actually serves them; and the psychological immune system, the consistent finding that people are far worse at predicting how they'll actually feel about a future outcome than they assume.
From there, the book gives you an actual, usable framework: a technique for surfacing the risk you haven't consciously named yet, a method for widening a decision that only feels like it has two options, a way to tell a ten-minute panic apart from a ten-year truth, and the crucial distinction between judging a decision and judging its outcome — since a sound decision can still produce a bad result, and a reckless one can still get lucky.
This is a practical guide to making the reasoned call under genuine uncertainty, and to living with it afterward without needing the certainty you were never going to get.
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